2023:Is Atiku’s Presidency And Wike As Running Mate The Winning Formula PDP Desperately Craves For?

2023:Is Atiku’s Presidency And Wike As Running Mate The Winning Formula PDP Desperately Craves For?

Matters Arising  By Osigwe Omo Ikirodah

Dateline: Today, Tuesday 22/03/2022 to Saturday, 28 May 2022 which is the presidential primaries for the PDP translates to approximately 67 days which can be further broken down to 5,788,800 seconds or 96,480 minutes which equals 1608 hours or exactly 9 weeks and 4 days.

The essence of the accurate breakdown is to buttress the point that there is no longer time for procrastination as regards the presidential primaries of the Peoples Democratic Party the PDP.

It is pertinent that henceforth Nigerians should spend their valuable time discussing the reality that stares them in their faces instead of permutations which time seems to have made belated. Over two years ago we predicted this and all they could say is that there is still time.

Today we are going to be taking a critical look at the PDP presidential primaries and the likely outcome if the pendulum swings towards Former Vice President Atiku Abubarkar.

As of the time of writing this Atiku is concluding preparations of officially announcing his declaration any moment from now, already the Waziri of Adamawa has purchased the 40 million naira PDP presidential form through Friends of the Business mogul from the North.

A careful look at the PDP formation clearly shows that the party has technically jettisoned the zoning arrangement, what this implies is that the presidency is free for all battles irrespective of the zone.

So far Atiku and Saraki seem to be the frontline aspirants for the race which is just 9 weeks and 4 days away.

The duo has since purchased their forms and has started wild consultations across the 36 states of the federation.

This article would be looking strictly at the chances of Atiku running as president and the Rivers State Governor, Nyesom Wike running alongside him as his Vice.

Worthy of note is that Nyesom Wike himself nurses a presidential ambition and may likely square up with Atiku for the presidential ticket.

Atiku as a seasoned and serial presidential contestant may have no match in the PDP if it comes to politicking and deep pockets, it is rumoured that Atiku who happens to be in his seventies has prepared adequately for a presidential contest financially.

Of all the aspirants he seems to be the less risk-taker in that his age makes it convenient to pull huge resources into the presidential project and won’t be unscathed whichever way the result turns out.

Atiku is super wealthy and at his age, it takes no risk spending such resources to attain his lifelong desire.

This is a major factor most of his opponents overlook at their peril, it is understandable in that the other aspirants have age to their advantage so need to be careful where they put their resources so they don’t get stuck in the future peradventure they fail.

The presidency is a big contest that requires huge resources and commitment, person wey never chop bellyful if he put body he fit no EVER recover oh. No b beans at all, businesses may crumble in the process and instead of getting it right, one may inherit debts that would take a while to come over.

Atiku has since passed such a hurdle he has nothing to lose financially, this actually would be his last run and no matter the financial resources he pours into the project it would never have an effect on him.

With APC zoning the Presidency to the South it, therefore, means it is a two-way race, which is the North vs the South. Without prejudice to whoever would emerge from the APC, I would like to anchor my disposition on Atiku facing a likely Southern aspirant from the APC.

With a North versus South Presidency, there is the tendency that Atiku would give the APC a huge run for their money in the North irrespective of whoever emerges as its candidate. Before now Atiku has never won the North so having to get a huge voters base from the Northern axis would be a plus for the political veteran, whether he loses the North or not.

Then the South-East looks predominately PDP in nature although their votes have never really been a threat to the APC. South East Votes is more like Lagos and Kano combined together. I never said their votes never matters so please don’t misquote me.

So if Atiku gets a sizeable chunk of the Northern votes and retains the South-East votes then the battleground would be the South-South, Middle Belt and North Central.

The South-West like the South East is an APC enclave and Atiku may not do well there except the APC brings a South-South Candidate for the APC presidential ticket then South-West maybe a swing zone for any political party.

The North Central and Middle Belt would be keenly contested by both parties thereby making the South-South a beautiful bride. If Atiku picks a South-East vice presidential running mate like he keeps doing he may lose the South-South for many reasons.

Edo for example is still a strong APC enclave, Cross Rivers would swing anywhere because the Presidency has been zoned to the North. Even Rivers could swing anywhere. Bayelsa has shown that the APC is not a walkover.

Ideally, if the PDP brings the battle to a North vs South contest as is envisaged as a way to swing the highly important northern votes towards sentiment then the South would grow sense as well and also vote a Southern President even if he comes from the South-West or wherever from the South.

Where comes Nyesom Wike in the whole formula.

Actually, Wike may easily get the vice-presidential slot easier than the Presidential ticket which he’s interested in. Let me tell you why, it is clear that the South-South has an issue of ego within themselves, Obaseki’s recent letter to Wike where he stated clearly that he would not be intimidated to support Wike’s presidential bid says it all.

The South key stakeholders believe nobody can defeat Atiku for so many reasons. and like I earlier buttressed nobody can match Atiku with spending on the PDP ticket it would never be worthwhile. That statement alone from Obaseki is a clear pointer that the South-South Governors may prefer to scheme as a running mate to Atiku.

Wike in the long run would be compensated with the vice presidency under an Atiku’s ticket no doubt if he so desires and this is why.

The vice presidential slot under an Atiku presidency would be between, Okowa of Delta, Obaseki of Edo, Udom of Akwa Ibom and Wike of Rivers.

Of all these aspirants only Wike perhaps has the capacity to give Atiku the needed tonic he needs. Wike has the guts, the resources and the tenacity to wage a battle with the ruling APC money for money, judiciary for judiciary and MEN FOR MEN.

Wike’s vice presidential ticket would guarantee the South-South a huge stake and give the campaign the needed ginger it requires.

What are the expectations and reality?

A lot of people are of the view that Nyesom Wike can never be tamed as a vice president, that is the expectation but the reality is that Atiku who himself gave Obasanjo a heated battle is well experienced to deal with threats from third parties.

The reality is no one can be bigger than the President, within two seconds he gets want he wants.

This article is based on likey permutations of where the pendulum may swing in the PDP from my own lens and it has nothing to do with my personal view or who I support as an individual for the presidency.

Is Atiku’s Presidency And Wike As Running Mate The Winning Formula PDP Desperately Craves For?

Endeavour to follow me on all my channels as we fast walk towards the 2023 general elections there is a lot to scoop from the BUSHES.

My name na Osigwe Omo Ikirodah and I am the Principal/CEO of Bush Radio Academy.

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Source iReporteronline.